Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 16.660694 19.303595 22.168251 25.496159 29.247727 33.337682 38.125427
2025-09-14 12.433464 16.128088 20.522676 26.096210 32.933802 41.003056 51.196672
2025-09-21 9.528158 13.545566 18.692559 25.682932 34.829249 46.279276 61.570271
2025-09-28 7.485660 11.526890 17.046204 24.988019 35.948208 50.343472 70.442302
2025-10-05 6.741291 11.080378 17.320477 26.721107 40.246912 58.681636 85.307643
2025-10-12 6.064651 10.584376 17.397128 28.092301 44.060135 66.540452 99.978505
2025-10-19 5.278425 9.771555 16.861461 28.441525 46.348190 72.338180 112.069942
2025-10-26 4.599665 9.011228 16.282553 28.609776 48.304305 77.702687 123.783017
2025-11-02 3.939243 8.167453 15.444411 28.239961 49.339997 81.696849 133.637737
2025-11-09 3.354002 7.357389 14.547329 27.647719 49.919745 84.964918 142.507548
2025-11-16 2.848051 6.608610 13.652661 26.940818 50.208152 87.734196 150.690049
2025-11-23 2.380054 5.851362 12.638533 25.898206 49.808956 89.326028 157.038581
2025-11-30 2.140603 5.556009 12.505479 26.526277 52.496186 96.373896 172.998856
2025-12-07 1.909870 5.244447 12.313631 27.051117 55.096631 103.539797 189.750744
2025-12-14 1.622212 4.742062 11.661114 26.608655 55.893951 107.686498 201.724679
2025-12-21 1.358302 4.236128 10.920007 25.889406 56.085237 110.755233 212.002473
2025-12-28 1.312872 4.277979 11.381293 27.675706 61.182014 122.784171 238.349786
2026-01-04 1.243228 4.240719 11.655757 29.088938 65.646753 133.914705 263.665005
2026-01-11 1.115481 4.013717 11.454441 29.448830 68.035708 141.375518 282.828061
2026-01-18 0.993108 3.773556 11.184918 29.622218 70.046200 148.228692 301.215041
2026-01-25 0.859424 3.465185 10.697655 29.241100 70.864701 152.857767 315.745973
2026-02-01 0.734309 3.150141 10.141928 28.630714 71.133998 156.424045 328.454945
2026-02-08 0.622478 2.847220 9.567350 27.902087 71.072951 159.316340 340.006648